The best plans achieve four goals in priority order:

  1. Money That Lasts — Never run out of money
  2. Live Well — Maximize your lifestyle, minimize regret
  3. Leave a Legacy — Pass wealth to heirs (after 1 & 2)
  4. Tax Efficiency — Keep more of what's yours

We track what matters:

  • Success — Will your money last?
  • Annual Spending — How much can you safely spend?
  • Legacy to Heirs — What will they receive (after taxes)?
  • Lifetime Taxes — How much goes to taxes?

Total Portfolio

Projected total balance by age

Median
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What is it?

Monte Carlo simulation runs thousands of independent retirement scenarios, each with a randomly varied sequence of annual market returns drawn from your expected return and volatility assumptions. The result is a probability distribution of outcomes rather than a single forecast.

Sequence of Returns Risk

Even if average returns are identical, when bad years occur matters enormously. A sharp downturn early in retirement forces larger withdrawals at depressed prices, permanently shrinking the portfolio. Monte Carlo captures this risk; a simple average-return projection does not.

Reading the Metrics

Success Rate
Percentage of simulations in which the portfolio lasted through the full retirement horizon without running out of money.
Median Final Balance (P50)
The middle outcome — half of all simulations ended above this value, half below.
Outcome Range (P10 – P90)
The band between the worst 10% and best 10% of simulations. A wide range signals high sensitivity to market volatility.

Raw Projections


              

Individual Optimizers vs. Full Strategy Optimization

The app offers individual optimizers for specific settings like withdrawal strategy, Social Security claiming age, and retirement age. Each finds what's optimal for that one setting in isolation—while fixing others to specific values.

However, retirement decisions interact with each other. For example, the best withdrawal strategy might differ depending on when you claim Social Security, or when you retire affects which Roth conversion strategy works best.

Full Strategy Optimization evaluates thousands of combinations simultaneously to find strategies where all settings work together optimally, not just individually. This ensures you're finding the best overall retirement plan, not just optimizing pieces in isolation.

Think of it like planning a vacation: the best flight, hotel, and restaurant chosen separately may not be conveniently co-located for the best sightseeing experience. The best trip coordinates all elements together.

Click "Run Full Optimization" to explore optimal strategies across all parameters.

Filing Status

State of Residence

Your Timeline

Spouse Timeline

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Finding your safe retirement age

Not sure when you can retire? Once you've entered your financials, use Run Analysis next to Retire Age to compare ages and find the earliest year your plan stays on track.

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Should you move to a lower-tax state?

Select any state here and instantly see the impact on Lifetime Taxes and Amount to Heirs in the summary above. No-income-tax states are listed at the top for quick comparison.

Your Accounts

Spouse Accounts

Account Balances

Projected balance by age

Taxable IRA Roth Sp. IRA Sp. Roth

Employment Income

Social Security

Other Income

Fixed annual income from pensions, annuities, or passive sources. Leave End Age blank for lifetime income. Taxed as ordinary income.

Windfall

One-time lump sum income payments. Specify the year (your age) and whether it's taxable. Windfall amounts are added to your Taxable account.

Income

Annual income by source

SS Emp Other Sp. SS Sp. Emp Sp. Other Windfall Dividends

Household Spending

Your total annual household expenses in today's dollars. This amount will be adjusted for inflation each year. Or break it down by category below — the monthly total will update this automatically.

Monthly Estimates (Optional)

Enter monthly amounts by category. The total auto-fills Annual Spend above.

Monthly Total: $0 / mo → $0 / yr ↻ Recalculate

Living Expenses and Taxes

Annual breakdown by category

Living Expenses Federal Tax State Tax Conversion Tax

Withdrawal Order

Tax Consequences by Account Type

Where you hold your money determines how much of it you — and your family — actually keep.

Account Type
You (in retirement)
Your Heirs
Capital gains rates — typically 0%, 15%, or 20%
Much lower than ordinary income rates. You only pay tax on the profit, not the full amount. Long-term gains (held >1 year) get the best rates.
Heirs receive a "step-up in basis"
If you bought stock at 50 and it's worth 200 when you die, your heirs inherit it at the 200 basis. They owe no tax on that 150 gain.
Every dollar taxed as ordinary income
Same rates as wages — up to 37% federally. Required withdrawals (RMDs) begin at age 75 whether you need the money or not, which can push you into a higher bracket.
Heirs pay ordinary income tax on every dollar
No step-up in basis. Heirs must empty the account within 10 years, often during their peak earning years — a big tax hit at the worst time.
Withdrawals are completely tax-free
You paid taxes upfront; all growth is yours to keep. No RMDs during your lifetime, so the money can compound untouched as long as you wish.
Heirs inherit every dollar tax-free
They must withdraw within 10 years, but pay zero tax. A Roth is the most valuable asset to leave family — especially adult children already in high brackets.

Annual Withdrawals

Distribution by account type

Taxable IRA Roth Sp. IRA Sp. Roth

Tax Breakdown

Federal and state taxes by component

Fed Income Fed Cap Gains Fed Conversion State Income State Cap Gains State Conversion
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No data yet

Fill in your profile and financials to see your retirement cash flows visualized here.

Roth Conversion

Spouse Roth Conversion

Roth Conversions

Annual conversion amounts

Conversion Tax Paid
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Coming Soon

Your personalized retirement roadmap with milestones and action items will appear here.

Inflation

Medicare / IRMAA

Surplus Distribution from RMD

Legacy Transfer

Amount to Heirs is the net estate value after the income tax heirs must pay on inherited IRA balances under the SECURE 2.0 10-year distribution rule. Roth and Taxable accounts pass to heirs tax-free (qualified Roth distributions; Taxable gets a step-up in basis). Only traditional IRA balances are subject to ordinary income tax at the heir's marginal rate.

Monte Carlo

Volatility Drag